As mortgage rates hit a 22-year high and existing homeowners continue to stay in their homes, new single family home sales hit a 17-month high in July, according to HUD and U.S. Census Bureau data. Last month’s data recorded a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 714,000 new single-family home sales, up 4.4% from the revised … Read More
The Fed will be in Jackson Hole next week, where Chairman Jay Powell is expected to speak following the inflation read last week: CPI registered 3.2% through July, and was up a modest .2% from last month, though core inflation is still elevated in the high 4s. Many believe the moderation has validated the Fed’s posture. Continued U.S. economic strength extending into Q3, however, adds further uncertainty to … Read More
Eyes will be on inflation data coming out this week. The news on that front has been trending positive and suggests the Fed is nearing the end of the rate hiking cycle. As we’ve been discussing here, the second quarter was strong and the third quarter appears to be holding up on the consumer front as well, as the jobs market … Read More
As the market was expecting, the Fed raised interest rates another quarter point Wednesday afternoon, bringing the federal-funds rate to a range between 5.25% and 5.5%, a 22 year high. There will be eight weeks until the next Fed meeting. Chairman Jay Powell said there is “uncertainty in the next meeting let alone next year.” Powell also said he believed they “have a shot” at a soft … Read More
Fed Chairman Jay Powell is on the Hill delivering the Fed’s semiannual report on monetary policy to the Senate and House. He told the House Committee the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in the coming months but at a slower pace than they have moved over the past year, weighing the risk that the combination of their 10 … Read More
Although stress in the banking sector continues in this rate environment, total borrowing from the Fed’s three emergency lending programs declined from $288.7 billion the week prior to $285.7 billion last week (the figure peaked in March at $343.7 billion in the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse). Borrowing from the Fed’s Bank Term Funding Program rose slightly to $93.6 … Read More
The Wall Street Journal reports that after the average city office occupancy rates surpassed 50% earlier this year for the first time since the pandemic began, “many landlords viewed this milestone as a sign that employees were finally resuming their former work habits.” Office usage rates have barely budged since, as most companies have settled into a hybrid … Read More
There continues to be a conundrum in US markets: Q1 was very strong for consumer spending, above pre-pandemic levels, substantially. There has been decent, though slowing, payroll data — the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that total non-farm payroll employment rose by 236,000 in March. It was the smallest increase in more than two years, but it … Read More
Redfin reported more house hunters are returning to the market as mortgage rates and home prices continue to decline, but low inventory is hampering their searches. Banks continue to borrow from the new bank term funding program, up $10 billion last week to $64 billion while borrowing from the Fed discount window slowed to $88 billion, down $22 billion according to … Read More
Markets appeared to be mollified slightly over the weekend after the FDIC found a buyer for Silicon Valley Bank. Nevertheless, the quarter point added to the Fed Funds rate last week has increased pressure incrementally on smaller banks trying desperately to maintain their deposit base and compressing their margins, which will result in the further restriction of … Read More
